THE INITIAL AND DAILY COVID-19 EFFECTIVE REPRODUCTIVE NUMBER IN SOUTH AFRICA

This report summarises national laboratory testing for SARS-CoV-2, the virus causing COVID-19, in South Africa. This report is based on data collected up to 30 Sept 2022 (week 39).

Key highlights:  

  • R estimates based on cases were above 1 nationally and in Gauteng and Western Cape provinces at the end of the estimation period. The credible intervals for R estimates at the end of the estimation period included 1 for all provinces.
  • R estimates based on admissions were close to 1 nationally and in all four of the provinces for which numbers of admissions were sufficient to produce reasonable estimates, at the end of the admissions-based estimation period.
  • The numbers of tests being conducted are at the lowest level since the beginning of the pandemic and are decreasing. The low number of tests leads to increased uncertainty in the R estimates. The decreasing trend in testing reduces the apparent rate of epidemic growth and may bias R estimates downward. The results presented in this report must be interpreted with these caveats in mind.

THE INITIAL AND DAILY COVID-19 EFFECTIVE REPRODUCTIVE NUMBER IN SOUTH AFRICA (30 Sept 2022)

THE INITIAL AND DAILY COVID-19 EFFECTIVE REPRODUCTIVE NUMBER IN SOUTH AFRICA (17 Jul 2022)

THE INITIAL AND DAILY COVID-19 EFFECTIVE REPRODUCTIVE NUMBER IN SOUTH AFRICA (28 April 2022)

THE INITIAL AND DAILY COVID-19 EFFECTIVE REPRODUCTIVE NUMBER IN SOUTH AFRICA (21 Dec 2021)

THE INITIAL AND DAILY COVID-19 EFFECTIVE REPRODUCTIVE NUMBER IN SOUTH AFRICA (4 Dec 2021)

THE INITIAL AND DAILY COVID-19 EFFECTIVE REPRODUCTIVE NUMBER IN SOUTH AFRICA (22 Nov 2021)

THE INITIAL AND DAILY COVID-19 EFFECTIVE REPRODUCTIVE NUMBER IN SOUTH AFRICA (09 Oct 2021)

THE INITIAL AND DAILY COVID-19 EFFECTIVE REPRODUCTIVE NUMBER IN SOUTH AFRICA (27 SEPT 2021)

THE INITIAL AND DAILY COVID-19 EFFECTIVE REPRODUCTIVE NUMBER IN SOUTH AFRICA (6 SEPT 2021)

THE INITIAL AND DAILY COVID-19 EFFECTIVE REPRODUCTIVE NUMBER IN SOUTH AFRICA (13 Aug 2021)

THE INITIAL AND DAILY COVID-19 EFFECTIVE REPRODUCTIVE NUMBER IN SOUTH AFRICA (19 July 2021)

THE INITIAL AND DAILY COVID-19 EFFECTIVE REPRODUCTIVE NUMBER IN SOUTH AFRICA (5 July 2021)

THE INITIAL AND DAILY COVID-19 EFFECTIVE REPRODUCTIVE NUMBER IN SOUTH AFRICA (29 May 2021)

THE INITIAL AND DAILY COVID-19 EFFECTIVE REPRODUCTIVE NUMBER IN SOUTH AFRICA (8 May 2021)

THE INITIAL AND DAILY COVID-19 EFFECTIVE REPRODUCTIVE NUMBER IN SOUTH AFRICA (9 April 2021)

THE INITIAL AND DAILY COVID-19 EFFECTIVE REPRODUCTIVE NUMBER IN SOUTH AFRICA (22 March 2020)

THE INITIAL AND DAILY COVID-19 EFFECTIVE REPRODUCTIVE NUMBER IN SOUTH AFRICA (20 Feb 2021)

THE INITIAL AND DAILY COVID-19 EFFECTIVE REPRODUCTIVE NUMBER IN SOUTH AFRICA (5 Dec 2020)

THE INITIAL AND DAILY COVID-19 EFFECTIVE REPRODUCTIVE NUMBER IN SOUTH AFRICA (31 Aug 2020)

THE INITIAL AND DAILY COVID-19 EFFECTIVE REPRODUCTIVE NUMBER IN SOUTH AFRICA (9 Aug 2020)

THE INITIAL AND DAILY COVID-19 EFFECTIVE REPRODUCTIVE NUMBER IN SOUTH AFRICA (10 June 2020)

THE INITIAL AND DAILY COVID-19 EFFECTIVE REPRODUCTIVE NUMBER IN SOUTH AFRICA (27 MAY 2020)